An “active to extremely active” hurricane season is expected for the Atlantic Basin this year according to the seasonal outlook issued by The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is a federal agency focused on the condition of the oceans and the atmosphere.
EEK!!
The typical hurricane season runs effective from June 1st through November 30th.
La Nina is defined as a lower surface temperature usually 3-5 degrees Celsius, this is normally the years when hurricane season occur. The effect of these conditions is a typically wet winter in the U.S. particularly in the Midwest, and an increased likelihood of hurricanes as these weather systems head towards the Atlantic and combine with tropical air coming from Africa.
What does it mean to predict an active hurricane season? The average hurricane season contains 11 named storms (top winds of 39 mph or higher), six hurricanes (top winds of 74 mph or higher) and two major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of at least 111 mph).
The NOAA is predicting 14-23 named storms: including 8 - 14 hurricanes of which 3 - 7 could be major hurricanes. With this is mind this could mean we could be in for one of the most active seasons on record!!
We do need to bear in mind though that NOAA can often be innocently incorrect but because predicting weather is incredibly difficult.
Now what happens in the event of a hurricane?
Well the cruise line will substitute different ports. Yes you might miss out on certain ports of call but this is the risk when you book in the hurricane season and hurricane season is no secret so we often see bargain prices.
Also the cruise ships are experts at avoiding these storms, so you should still have a great cruise. You just have to accept the possibility of a little uncertainty.
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